The draft of the 13th Five-Year Development Plan for the Robot Industry has been completed

On November 23, the 2015 World Robotics Conference, hosted by the China Association for Science and Technology, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Beijing Municipal Government, was held in Beijing. According to the Xinhua News Agency, Vice Chairman Li Yuanchao attended the opening ceremony and read the congratulatory letter from President Xi Jinping and the instructions of Premier Li Keqiang, expressing his high concern for the robot industry.

The China Securities Journal reporter was informed that the draft of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Development Plan for the Robot Industry” has been basically formulated and will form a blueprint for the development of the Chinese robot industry together with the “Made in China 2025” key area technology roadmap, and then open the “Ten” The veil of three hundred and five billion yuan of output value.

In view of the intensive policy red envelope and huge market potential, listed companies are extremely active in the field of robotics. Ping An Securities [microblogging] analyst pointed out that as the scope of robot applications continues to expand, the rapid growth of industrial robots will continue, and service robots are expected to become the new blue ocean.

Strong support from national policies
The robot industry is entering the policy honeymoon period. The Xinhua News Agency reported that Xi Jinping said in his congratulatory letter that with the integration of informationization and industrialization, the intelligent industry represented by robotics technology has emerged as an important symbol of modern technological innovation. Li Keqiang also pointed out that China is implementing an innovation-driven development strategy, vigorously promoting mass entrepreneurship and innovation, Internet + and China Manufacturing 2025, which will effectively promote the growth of robotic emerging markets and create the world's largest robot market.

The robot is hailed as the jewel of the top of the manufacturing industry. It is not only a representative of emerging industries, but also can create new industries through the development of new demands, such as the widespread application of drones, industrial robots, service robots, artificial intelligence robots, and promote many industries. Upgrade. However, China still has many gaps in the field of robot R&D compared with the world's advanced level.

It is understood that the draft of the "Thirteen Five-Year Plan" of the robot industry has been basically completed, and the relevant supporting policies of "Made in China 2025" are also being accelerated. In addition, relevant departments will successively introduce and implement 33 special plans for various sub-areas, and some policies such as smart manufacturing engineering policies are expected to be introduced at the end of the year.

A series of policies depict the roadmap for the development of China's robot industry: by 2020, the annual sales volume of industrial robots in China will reach 150,000 units, and the number of units will reach 800,000 units, which will be 400,000 units more than the end of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”; In 2025, the annual sales volume of industrial robots will reach 260,000 units, and the number of holdings will reach 1.8 million units, an increase of 1.4 million units from the end of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”. Many authoritative organizations predict that by the end of the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan", the annual output value of China's robot industry cluster is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan.

Industrial robots continue to grow at a high rate
According to the statistics of the International Robot Association, in 2013, China surpassed Japan to become the largest market for industrial robots worldwide. In 2014, the annual sales of industrial robots worldwide was 225,000 units, and sales in China accounted for about a quarter.

"The rapid growth of industrial robots will continue." Ping An Securities analyst pointed out that the current global manufacturing industry is undergoing major changes, China has become a manufacturing power, but there are still various problems, and it is urgent to transform and upgrade. China is in the middle and late stage of industrialization, and it is still a developing country. Most of the manufacturing products belong to labor-intensive and low-value-added products. The overall productivity level of China's manufacturing industry is at the stage of Industrial 2.0 going to Industry 3.0. This creates conditions and space for the growth of industrial robots.

The above-mentioned Ping An Securities analyst pointed out that the "Made in China 2025" strategy includes: Industry 2.0 remediation, Industry 3.0 popularization, Industry 4.0 demonstration. It is necessary to take intelligent manufacturing as the direction, integrate intelligent manufacturing technology into the industry 2.0 remediation and industrial 3.0 popularization, accelerate the move to Industry 4.0, and play the dual role of leading and transplanting in the industry 4.0 demonstration.

Luo Jun, CEO of the International Robotics and Intelligent Equipment Industry Alliance, recently said that China has become the world's largest consumer market for industrial robots. With the increase in labor costs and global manufacturing upgrades, the robot industry will usher in the next 10 years. Billion market size.

According to the above-mentioned Ping An Securities analysts, the priority areas for machine replacements include dangerous, harsh and harmful operating environments (explosives, nuclear radiation, welding, polishing and polishing), labor-intensive processes (assembly, manual work), and labor-intensive jobs. (Forging, handling), high-precision, high-clean operation (semiconductor, flat panel display manufacturing), automatic production line cutting, ultra-normal manufacturing (very high temperature, very low temperature, extremely high pressure).

The development prospects of the robot industry are huge, attracting more listed companies to get involved and carry out research and development and manufacturing layout. For example, Xinsong Robot, which produces industrial robots, announced its completion of the non-public offering plan on November 17. The company's share price has risen by 158% since August 2014. Xinshida (26.16, 0.00, 0.00%) company just released a fixed plan on September 11th, and plans to purchase about 100 million yuan of Huitong Technology and 49% equity of Xiaoao Xiangrong for a price of about 1 billion yuan, plus the industrial robot business. The company said that in the future, it will focus on the market expansion of new products for robots and motion control and the market layout of elevators and Internet of Things, and regard it as the key development direction of the industry.

Service robots become the new blue ocean
At present, the global robot market is dominated by industrial robots, accounting for 80% of the market. "In the future, the industry of service robots will exceed the industrial robots and become the new blue ocean." The above-mentioned Ping An Securities analysts judged this.

Galaxy Securities analysts also pointed out that service robots are like computers 30 years ago and mobile phones 15 years ago. The service robot industry will exceed one trillion yuan in the next 10 years. The compound growth rate will reach 22% in the next three years. critical point. It is estimated that the global service robot market will reach 200 billion yuan in 2014-2017, and the compound growth rate will reach 22%. The growth rate of the Chinese market is much higher than the global growth rate.

Service robots can be divided into personal/home service robots and professional service robots. Professional service robots include medical, farming, animal husbandry, defense, overhaul, logistics, rescue, and public robots. The essence of "serving" is different from the "production" of industrial robots. Taking the cleaning robot as an example, during the 'Double Eleven' period, the domestic sweeping robot company Cobos achieved a total sales of 315 million yuan, of which 276 million yuan was sold in Tmall [microblogging] mall. "This shows us The explosive power of service robots in the end consumer demand. According to GF Securities analysts, as a kind of service robot, cleaning robots are expected to take the lead in industrialization. Service robots import terminal requirements through scene portals. Currently, relatively mature fields are cleaning, shopping guide, medical care, and education.

However, there is still a bottleneck in service robots that has not yet broken through key technologies. The core technologies of service robots include human-computer interaction, navigation and path planning, multi-robot coordination, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, etc., specifically related to voice, semantics, processors, algorithms, communications, big data, cloud networking, etc. Autonomy, adaptability, and intelligence. In addition, the integration of upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, including capital, system, application layer development, etc., also needs to be strengthened.

The above-mentioned Galaxy Securities analysts said that the development of service robots will be from simple to complex, from easy to difficult. The cleaning robot application scenario is simple, optimistic about its first outbreak. Surgical robots and military robots have the advantages and characteristics that humans can't reach. After the cost is further reduced and the functions continue to increase, it is expected to become popular.

At present, among the A-share listed companies, robots, Bosch shares, and superstar technology are all involved in the field of service robots.

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