Survey shows that 40% of the population in Kitakami has been watching this year's housing prices

According to the news of the economy, Zero Research Consulting Group's latest "National Survey of the People's Livelihood of the Two Conferences" shows that the residents of Beishangguang three generally recognized the effect of purchase restriction on house prices, and nearly 60% of the public supported the purchase restriction order; the market is mainly waiting to see. , Willingness to purchase less than 10%.

Nearly 60% of the public support limit orders continued to implement the survey. The residents of Kitakami and Hiroshima generally agreed that the purchase restriction order played a role in controlling housing prices. As a whole, the first three items of residents’ recognition of the effect of purchase restriction orders were: Consumption was controlled within a reasonable range (44.2%), the second was "increased the cost of living and the cost of floating population for the migrants" (36.7%), and the third "effectively curbed property speculation and vacant housing" (36.2%). . Among them, the first and third are the main purpose of the government's introduction of the purchase restriction order, and it can be seen that the residents are more appreciative of its effect.

From a regional point of view, although the residents of the three regions all expressed their recognition of the effect of restrictions on home purchase restrictions (45.6% in Beijing, 43.1% in Shanghai, and 43.7% in Guangzhou), there were slight differences in specific areas. In Beijing, the percentage of purchases that curtailed house prices with minimal restraint on house prices was not 39.7%, and the ratios in Shanghai and Guangzhou were only 27.9% and 26.1%.

The survey results also found that nearly 60% of the residents (57%) supported the continued implementation of the purchase restriction order, while the unsupported ratio was only 15%, and 28% of the residents said that it did not matter. Among them, the proportion of the two high groups (highly educated, high-income) who chose to continue to implement purchase restriction orders (57.9%, 56.7%) was slightly higher than that of low education (50.7%) and low-income groups (50.4%).

The trend of house price bullish momentum slows down. Observing sentiment in Beijing area is most obvious. Through comparison of historical data from 2010-2012, we find that the proportion of residents who are bullish on house prices is 62.3%, 44.4% and 16.3% respectively, showing a year-on-year downward trend; the proportion of residents who are expected to have basically flat house prices is As a result of the upward trend, the ratio for 2010-2012 was 17.8%, 28.6% and 34.2%, respectively; while the proportion of bearish house prices rose from 10% (16.6%, 11.6%) to 40% (39.5%). This shows that the residents’ preference for housing prices has slowed down and the country’s series of purchase restrictions have played a role.

From a regional perspective, Beijing residents believe that the proportion of housing prices continues to decline is slightly higher than that of Shanghai and Guangzhou (41.4%, 38.8%, and 37.8%, respectively), while Beijing residents who are looking for housing prices are smaller than those of Shanghai and Guangzhou. 13.8%, 16.4%, and 20.2%). At the same time, Beijing residents had the highest percentage of respondents who refused to answer and were unclear, 13.2%. The reason for this discrepancy may be that the measures for restricting purchases in the Beijing area are more stringent, and the role of Beijing 15 is still slowly being released.

The market is not willing to buy a home on a wait-and-see basis. Although high prices have been contained to a certain extent in 2011, residents' willingness to purchase has not been stimulated. The data shows that 30% of residents (30%) choose to keep watching and up to more than half residents (51.7%) said that even if the price declines “still can't afford it”, only 8.3% of the residents have the intention to purchase in 2012. Among them, the high-income group purchase intention is greater than the low-income group (the ratio was 12.2%, 8% and 6.7%), while the white-collar group's willingness to buy a house is also slightly higher than the blue-collar (ratio of 33% and 29.2%, respectively).

From a regional perspective, the proportion of Beijing residents (34.4%) with a wait-and-see attitude is higher than that of Shanghai (26.4) and Guangzhou (29.3%). The strong wait-and-see sentiment expressed by Beijing residents may be related to the implementation of the more stringent local purchase restriction order. Residents believe that there is room for price cuts in housing prices, or they hope that the purchase restriction order will show an inflection point in house prices in 2012.

Further investigation showed that the public recognized the role of the property tax in curbing house prices. However, the introduction of real estate tax will increase the pressure on home purchases, which also has a certain impact on the willingness to purchase houses. 27.5% and 21% of residents believe that “will increase the burden on buyers” and “have an impact on buyers of large-scale buyers”, 26.7% believe that it will dampen the willingness of buyers, and only 16.8% of the public think that there is little to ordinary buyers. influences.

Although the regulation and control policies of the property market are in full swing, real estate regulation is still far from effective. Real estate prices, especially in first-tier cities, have not seen any significant downward adjustment. At the end of 2011, Guangzhou, Foshan, early 2012, Wuhu, Anhui, and Zhongshan, Guangzhou released information. The government will loosen restrictions on the purchase of the property market. Although it was stopped by the state in a short period of time, to prevent local governments from “supporting the market”, the current regulatory policy should be implemented as soon as possible. Adjust and optimize. (Reporter Feng Ya)

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