According to preliminary statistics from the German Machine Tool Manufacturers Association (VDW), in the first quarter of 2011, the German machine tool industry continued to show a clear recovery. Driven by strong demand from local and overseas markets, orders from the German machine tool industry have again increased by three digits, an increase of 130%. At the same time, the output value of German machine tools, consumption, and utilization of memory capacity of imports have shown a significant growth year-on-year, exceeding industry expectations.
First, the growth rate of German machine tool output and consumption increased from negative to positive, and the growth rate exceeded 30%.
In the first quarter of 2011, the gross output value of German machine tools (including metal processing machine output, machine tool accessories output and machine tool installation, repair and maintenance costs) was 2.54 billion euros, an increase of 35% over the same period of 1.885 billion euros in the same period in 2010, the first time in two years. From negative to positive. If the cost of machine tool installation, repair and maintenance is removed, the value of German machine tool (metal processing machine tools and related parts) in 2010 was 2.27 billion euros, an increase of 34% over the same period in 2010 of 1.691 billion euros. According to VDW forecasts, German machine tool production is expected to increase by 30% for the full year of 2011, and industry output is expected to return to 13 billion euros.
In the first quarter, the value of German metalworking machine tools was 1.75 billion euros, an increase of 33% over the same period in 2010 of 1.314 billion euros. Among them, the output value of metal cutting machine tools was 1.3 billion euros, a year-on-year increase of 43%; the output value of metal forming machine tools was 450 million euros, an increase of 11%. In addition, the output value of machine tool parts was 520 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 38%; the value of machine tool installation, repair and maintenance related services was 270 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 39%.
In terms of machine tool consumption, in the first quarter, the domestic consumption of German machine tools was 1.277 billion euros, an increase of 34% over the 955 million euros in the same period of 2010. The data shows that demand for machine tools in Germany has shrunk sharply under the impact of the financial crisis. In 2009, it fell by 38% year-on-year, and in 2010 it fell by 10% year-on-year. At present, the consumption of machine tools has recovered, but there is still a big gap compared with before the crisis. Figure 1 shows the trends in the value of production and consumption of German machine tools from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
Second, the first quarter of Germany's machine tool orders increased by three digits, domestic and international market demand has increased significantly
In the first quarter, German machine tool orders totaled 4.722 billion euros, a significant increase of 130% from 2.05 billion euros in the same period in 2010. Among them, local orders were 1.59 billion euros, an increase of 127% compared with 700 million euros in the same period of 2010; overseas orders were 3.13 billion euros, a significant increase of 132% over the same period of 1.35 billion euros in the same period of 2010. Figure 2 shows the trend of domestic and international orders for German machine tools from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
Since the end of 2009, German machine tool orders have achieved double-digit growth, and in the second half of 2010, even three months have seen a three-digit increase. For the whole year of 2010, machine tool orders increased by 85% year-on-year, and domestic and overseas orders increased by 75% and 90% respectively. Dr. Wilfried Schäfer, Executive Director of VDW, pointed out that the rebound in orders was mainly due to the sharp rebound in molding technology projects. Molding machine tools account for about 30% of the total machine tool business. Particularly prominent in this respect is sheet metal processing, which is a pressure technology that has an important weight in the project and has a relatively short lead time. Third, the import and export of machine tools has increased significantly, and China’s export share has exceeded 1/4.
In terms of import and export, in the first quarter, the export value of German machine tools (excluding machine installation, repair and maintenance costs) was 1.575 billion euros, an increase of 39% over the same period of 1.129 billion euros in the same period of 2010; the import value of machine tools was 582 million euros. , an increase of 48% from the 393 million euros in the same period in 2010. Figure 3 shows the trend of German machine tool import and export trade from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
From the machine tool export point of view, in the first quarter, Germany's machine tool exports to China continued to lead, with exports (including machine tool accessories, etc.) of 404 million euros, an increase of 38% over the same period of 292 million euros in the same period of 2010, accounting for total German machine tool exports. 25.7%. The United States is its second largest exporter with an export value of 131 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 100%, and its share of exports is 8.3%. The third largest exporter is Switzerland, with an export value of 83 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 58%, with a share of 5.3%. Figure 4 shows the top 10 statistics of German machine tool export countries and regions in the first quarter of 2011. From the source of machine tool imports, in the first quarter, Germany imported the largest number of machine tools from Switzerland, with an import value of 182 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 69% and an import share of 31.3%. Machine tools imported from Japan ranked second, with an import value of 71 million euros, an increase of 84% year-on-year, accounting for 12.2% of imports. The third place is Italy, with an import value of 45 million euros, an increase of 18% year-on-year, and a share of 7.8%. In the first quarter, Germany imported machine tools from China of 0.2 billion euros, a year-on-year increase of 12%, with a share of 3.5%. Figure 5 shows the top 10 statistics of German machine tool import countries and regions in the first quarter of 2011.
Fourth, the capacity utilization rate is close to the high point before the financial crisis, the employee situation tends to be stable
From 2005 to 2008, the capacity utilization rate of German machine tools increased steadily from 88.2% to 94.7%. However, due to the economic crisis, the capacity utilization rate in 2009 fell to 72.6%. Since 2011, due to the substantial increase in orders, the capacity utilization rate of the German machine tool industry has rebounded sharply to 92.6% in the first quarter. As of April, the index rose further to 93.8%, close to the highest level in 2008. At the same time, the industry's on-hand orders index recovered from a low of 6.2 months in 2009 to 8.7 months in the first quarter of 2011.
One of the important reasons why the German machine tool industry can quickly recover from the crisis is that the industry has kept high-quality professionals in its core business as much as possible during the crisis. In the first quarter of 2011, the industry employed 63,969 people, which was basically the same as last year, but still fell by 8.1% from the historical peak in October 2008.
First, the growth rate of German machine tool output and consumption increased from negative to positive, and the growth rate exceeded 30%.
In the first quarter of 2011, the gross output value of German machine tools (including metal processing machine output, machine tool accessories output and machine tool installation, repair and maintenance costs) was 2.54 billion euros, an increase of 35% over the same period of 1.885 billion euros in the same period in 2010, the first time in two years. From negative to positive. If the cost of machine tool installation, repair and maintenance is removed, the value of German machine tool (metal processing machine tools and related parts) in 2010 was 2.27 billion euros, an increase of 34% over the same period in 2010 of 1.691 billion euros. According to VDW forecasts, German machine tool production is expected to increase by 30% for the full year of 2011, and industry output is expected to return to 13 billion euros.
In the first quarter, the value of German metalworking machine tools was 1.75 billion euros, an increase of 33% over the same period in 2010 of 1.314 billion euros. Among them, the output value of metal cutting machine tools was 1.3 billion euros, a year-on-year increase of 43%; the output value of metal forming machine tools was 450 million euros, an increase of 11%. In addition, the output value of machine tool parts was 520 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 38%; the value of machine tool installation, repair and maintenance related services was 270 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 39%.
In terms of machine tool consumption, in the first quarter, the domestic consumption of German machine tools was 1.277 billion euros, an increase of 34% over the 955 million euros in the same period of 2010. The data shows that demand for machine tools in Germany has shrunk sharply under the impact of the financial crisis. In 2009, it fell by 38% year-on-year, and in 2010 it fell by 10% year-on-year. At present, the consumption of machine tools has recovered, but there is still a big gap compared with before the crisis. Figure 1 shows the trends in the value of production and consumption of German machine tools from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
Second, the first quarter of Germany's machine tool orders increased by three digits, domestic and international market demand has increased significantly
In the first quarter, German machine tool orders totaled 4.722 billion euros, a significant increase of 130% from 2.05 billion euros in the same period in 2010. Among them, local orders were 1.59 billion euros, an increase of 127% compared with 700 million euros in the same period of 2010; overseas orders were 3.13 billion euros, a significant increase of 132% over the same period of 1.35 billion euros in the same period of 2010. Figure 2 shows the trend of domestic and international orders for German machine tools from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
Since the end of 2009, German machine tool orders have achieved double-digit growth, and in the second half of 2010, even three months have seen a three-digit increase. For the whole year of 2010, machine tool orders increased by 85% year-on-year, and domestic and overseas orders increased by 75% and 90% respectively. Dr. Wilfried Schäfer, Executive Director of VDW, pointed out that the rebound in orders was mainly due to the sharp rebound in molding technology projects. Molding machine tools account for about 30% of the total machine tool business. Particularly prominent in this respect is sheet metal processing, which is a pressure technology that has an important weight in the project and has a relatively short lead time. Third, the import and export of machine tools has increased significantly, and China’s export share has exceeded 1/4.
In terms of import and export, in the first quarter, the export value of German machine tools (excluding machine installation, repair and maintenance costs) was 1.575 billion euros, an increase of 39% over the same period of 1.129 billion euros in the same period of 2010; the import value of machine tools was 582 million euros. , an increase of 48% from the 393 million euros in the same period in 2010. Figure 3 shows the trend of German machine tool import and export trade from 2005 to the first quarter of 2011.
From the machine tool export point of view, in the first quarter, Germany's machine tool exports to China continued to lead, with exports (including machine tool accessories, etc.) of 404 million euros, an increase of 38% over the same period of 292 million euros in the same period of 2010, accounting for total German machine tool exports. 25.7%. The United States is its second largest exporter with an export value of 131 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 100%, and its share of exports is 8.3%. The third largest exporter is Switzerland, with an export value of 83 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 58%, with a share of 5.3%. Figure 4 shows the top 10 statistics of German machine tool export countries and regions in the first quarter of 2011. From the source of machine tool imports, in the first quarter, Germany imported the largest number of machine tools from Switzerland, with an import value of 182 million euros, a year-on-year increase of 69% and an import share of 31.3%. Machine tools imported from Japan ranked second, with an import value of 71 million euros, an increase of 84% year-on-year, accounting for 12.2% of imports. The third place is Italy, with an import value of 45 million euros, an increase of 18% year-on-year, and a share of 7.8%. In the first quarter, Germany imported machine tools from China of 0.2 billion euros, a year-on-year increase of 12%, with a share of 3.5%. Figure 5 shows the top 10 statistics of German machine tool import countries and regions in the first quarter of 2011.
Fourth, the capacity utilization rate is close to the high point before the financial crisis, the employee situation tends to be stable
From 2005 to 2008, the capacity utilization rate of German machine tools increased steadily from 88.2% to 94.7%. However, due to the economic crisis, the capacity utilization rate in 2009 fell to 72.6%. Since 2011, due to the substantial increase in orders, the capacity utilization rate of the German machine tool industry has rebounded sharply to 92.6% in the first quarter. As of April, the index rose further to 93.8%, close to the highest level in 2008. At the same time, the industry's on-hand orders index recovered from a low of 6.2 months in 2009 to 8.7 months in the first quarter of 2011.
One of the important reasons why the German machine tool industry can quickly recover from the crisis is that the industry has kept high-quality professionals in its core business as much as possible during the crisis. In the first quarter of 2011, the industry employed 63,969 people, which was basically the same as last year, but still fell by 8.1% from the historical peak in October 2008.
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