At present, the winter storage market is still slowly advancing. The price of compound fertilizer is affected by favorable factors such as raw materials and supply. The overall market is on the rise. It is expected that the price will fall back in the short term. Dealers are generally dominated by wait and see, and there are very few new orders on the market.
　　
The price of compound fertilizer is rising, and the raw material support is strong.
This week, the domestic compound fertilizer market activity is not ideal, there are few new orders to follow in the market, the company is currently pre-received orders. The heating in the north began to start, and the environmental protection pressure increased. Many enterprises received notifications of limited production or production suspension, and the operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises remained low overall. The price of raw materials remained at a high level, and under the pressure of cost, the price of compound fertilizers maintained a rising trend. It is expected that the price of compound fertilizer will be greatly affected by fluctuations in raw material prices in the later period. Due to factors such as cost and demand, corporate quotations still have a trend of increase.
Huang Zeming, general manager of Fujian Wanjia Harvest Agriculture Development Co., Ltd. told reporters that under the pressure of environmental protection, the current operating rate of the compound fertilizer market is not high overall, coupled with the high consolidation of raw material prices, the inflation of the fertilizer market is getting stronger and stronger, and all parties are rising. . At present, the overall price of the urea market is nearly 400 yuan / ton compared with last year, and the recent price decline has not had a big impact on the overall market trend. In terms of phosphate fertilizer, the price has been rising all the way. The price of 55% powdery monoammonium has reached 2,500 yuan/ton, which is close to 700 yuan/ton compared with the price of 1,800 yuan/ton in the same period of last year. Overall, the rise in raw material prices has provided strong support for compound fertilizer prices.
The winter storage is mainly based on “complementingâ€, cautiously waiting to see
In the case of increasing production costs of compound fertilizers, manufacturers have a narrow adjustment trend after the previous quotation. At the current price, dealers remain cautious and wait-and-see, and there is no intention to prepare a large amount of fertilizer. The turnover of the company is not good and the market is in a stalemate. Yu Youlin, general manager of Wuhan Jinfengyuan Agricultural Resources Chain Distribution Co., Ltd. said: "At this stage, the manufacturers basically complete the quotation, and for the existing quotation, the dealers are generally difficult to accept. Some manufacturers to stimulate the dealers to buy desire, launched a guarantee of interest. Policy, but in the face of such a high price, dealers obviously do not buy, the enthusiasm of the money is not high, the manufacturers are in a dilemma between the dilemma. From the current price point of view, the market outlook is not optimistic, in recent years, 'light The market of “up and down†makes dealers still cautious in winter storage, and some dealers only make small replenishment.â€
Talking about the risk of winter storage, Huang Zeming said that some dealers now have sufficient supply after the buyout, and the previous price is nearly 200 yuan/ton lower than the current price. In the current market price trend, in the later stage, The operational profit is still more optimistic and the risk is greatly reduced. Today's market prices have made most dealers discouraged, the market is new, the downstream is generally wait and see atmosphere is very strong, dealers choose the possibility of stocking at this time is not high. If there is demand in the market, a small amount of replenishment will be made until the price tends to be reasonable, and a certain amount of purchase may be carried out when the risk is relatively low. If there is still no price reduction trend in the later period, then most dealers will choose to purchase goods according to demand during the fertilizer season to avoid unnecessary losses after the high price, and the winter storage will become rational. â€
Although the current price of compound fertilizer has created a certain embarrassing situation among manufacturers, when asked if the price will affect the demand for spring fertilizer, Huang Zeming said that it will not be affected too much. Mainly because the local pre-dealers have unused purchases, there is a certain profit margin at the current price, the risk will not be great, and when the fertilizer season is used, the price that the dealers pass to the farmers will Not too high. Moreover, in order to better maintain the customer base and ease the excessive pressure on the purchase layer, the price will not rise too high. He also told reporters that the local market mainly focuses on economic crops, the income of farmers is considerable, and there is a certain rigid demand for fertilizer. If the fertilizer price is controlled within a reasonable range, the impact on the enthusiasm of fertilizer is not It will be great.
On the whole, the price of compound fertilizer is less likely to fall in the short-term under the pressure of raw materials. Some distributors have a small amount of stock in the early stage, and there is no high-priced fertilizer intention. For the trend of later compound fertilizer prices, we must pay attention to changes in raw material prices.
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