"The imposing of counter-subsidy anti-dumping punitive tariffs, even a penny will be a disaster for Chinese companies." Li Junfeng, deputy director of the Energy Development Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission and vice chairman of the China Renewable Energy Association. Since the beginning of this year, the price of global PV products has fallen fiercely. It has suffered from “double-reverse†litigation of European debt and US anti-dumping and anti-subsidy, making it difficult for Chinese PV companies with nearly 90% of their products sold overseas. Exports shrank, and individual small and medium-sized PV companies closed down. The total installed capacity of photovoltaics last year accounted for nearly 66.5% of the world's Germany, Italy and the Czech Republic began to adjust subsidies in the first half of the year. In February, Germany announced that the mid-term on-grid tariff cuts in 2011 will be determined according to the annual installed capacity from March to May this year. When the size of the refining machine exceeds 3.5GW (billion watts), the installed capacity will increase by 1GW, and the PV subsidy will be lowered. 3%; In June, Italy's new PV policy was clear, and the original feed-in tariff subsidy will be further reduced by 4% to 11%. From June, the on-grid tariff will be adjusted on a monthly basis. It is expected that by the end of 2011, the feed-in tariff subsidy will be The decline was 26% to 42%; the Czech Republic announced that it plans to increase its tax revenue for 26% of the built photovoltaic power plants from 2011. European demand has therefore begun to shrink. "The company's European orders this year are conservatively estimated to have dropped by 50%. At present, we mainly rely on the domestic market to maintain. The national golden sun demonstration project in Xinjiang, Qinghai and Gansu can do, but the profit is very low." The products have been exported to the European market in Guangxi. Wang Yi, manager of the photovoltaic business unit of Dikai Technology Co., Ltd. said. In fact, many small and medium-sized PV companies like Dikai have fallen in the cold winter. In the case of shrinking global PV demand, it is an indisputable fact that overcapacity in the domestic PV industry is currently overcapacity. In the face of shrinking demand in the European market, companies have chosen to change their strategies to open up emerging markets such as North America and Southeast Asia. On October 19, seven US solar cell manufacturers filed applications with the US Department of Commerce and the US International Trade Commission. The US government is required to conduct anti-dumping and countervailing investigations on solar photovoltaic cells and components exported from China to the United States and adopt trade restrictions. Li Junfeng believes that the “double-reverse†lawsuit proposed by US PV companies for “anti-dumping and countervailing†against Chinese PV companies aims to seize the market and want to squeeze Chinese PV companies out of the US market. "Once the US lawsuit is successful, the EU will certainly follow suit. The loss of the US market is not enough, but the share of China's PV products exported to the EU is 70%, which is the most terrible." Li Junfeng said. Blindly launched, more than doubled overcapacity In fact, in addition to the impact of overseas markets, the development of China's PV companies is also an important reason for the coming winter. Taking Zhejiang as an example, there are 205 photovoltaic enterprises in the province, of which 110 are established after September 2010, and the scale is below 100 MW. More and more influxes will inevitably lead to increased competition. As of now, the domestic industry profit margin has fallen from 139% to 20%. Many small businesses have closed down or stopped production, and some of the projects planned earlier have also been forced to slow down. CSG Group's total investment of about 1.1 billion yuan in the Heyuan project was originally planned to be put into trial operation on December 16, but due to the impact of the environment, the entire project is currently slowing down. An insider of CSG Group told reporters: "As for when to return to work depends on the market situation. Because the industry is in a downturn, blindly expanding production capacity is not good for the company." A senior executive of GCL-Poly told reporters: "Currently Oversupply is more than double, the global market demand is around 20GW, the production capacity is 40GW to 50GW, and the excess 20GW can only be eliminated." For the sake of profit, blindly launched, not long-term consideration, has always been a hidden danger of the photovoltaic industry, the European debt crisis Accelerate its outbreak. Domestic PV concept listed companies generally fell. Under multiple pressures, the price of imported polysilicon fell by 27% in October and component prices fell by 20%. The third-quarter performance of domestic PV concept listed companies has generally declined. According to the recently released three quarterly reports, as of the end of last month, a total of 24 Chinese PV power generation concept stocks disclosed the third quarterly report, with a decline of 8 in the same period last year and 16 in the same period, accounting for 70% of the disclosed households. . Taking Tuo Xinxin as an example, since the second quarter of this year, the prices of crystalline silicon photovoltaic power generation batteries and components have fallen sharply, and the gross profit margin of products has continued to decline. In the first three quarters of the company, the company realized operating income of 378.765 million yuan, down 10.94% year-on-year. The total loss from January to September was 39.411 million yuan. In the third quarter, the company realized revenue of 121.5134 million yuan and a single quarter loss of 47.6431 million yuan. Industry insiders predict that due to the impact of the international economic situation such as the European debt crisis and the weak economic recovery in the United States, component prices are expected to fall in the fourth quarter, and the profitability of battery and component manufacturers in the PV midstream will further decline. The industry downturn in the fourth quarter is difficult to recover quickly. . Cui Rongqiang, chairman of the Shanghai Solar Energy Society and director of the Solar Energy Research Institute of Shanghai Jiaotong University, said that domestic listed companies in overseas countries should take advantage of international laws and resources. But the most important thing is that the domestic market is going to start. It is undeniable that the on-grid tariffs introduced in September have promoted the launch of the domestic PV market to a certain extent. Some enterprises have accelerated the construction of power stations in order to get high on-grid tariffs at the end of this year, which has led to a slight increase in domestic orders, but this is relatively In terms of the huge productivity of domestic PV products, it is still a drop in the bucket. For a considerable period of time, overseas markets such as Europe will remain the main battlefield for domestic PV companies.
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