Government Work Report: Stop the blind expansion of photovoltaic and wind energy industries

At 9:00 on the 5th, the Fifth Session of the 11th National People's Congress was officially opened. Premier Wen Jiabao pointed out in his government work report on behalf of the State Council: "To stop the blind expansion of photovoltaic and wind energy industries." The real start of the new energy industry was in 2005. It was marked by the demonstration effect of the domestic photovoltaic giant Suntech on the NYSE, and various funds poured into the photovoltaic industry. The entire PV industry has seen an unprecedented investment boom. However, due to the laissez-faire of investment and expansion, and the neglect of establishing corresponding technical standards, quality standards, and evaluation systems, not only has a huge market bubble been created, but also the emerging industry of photovoltaics has fallen into a low-end quagmire. According to the PV industry research report released by Goldman Sachs, the PV module production capacity in 2012 was 51GW, and the average capacity utilization rate was close to 60%. The latest global PV price forecast shows that the average price of polysilicon/wafer/battery/components in 2012 was US$27/kg and 0.33/0.53/0.89 US dollars/watt, down 40%-50% year-on-year. This means that the photovoltaic industry still faces enormous challenges of oversupply. In the face of this situation, Wen Jiabao of the National People's Congress clearly stated in the task of "accelerating the transformation of the economic development mode": "will promote the healthy development of strategic emerging industries. Establish mechanisms to promote the use of new energy, strengthen overall planning, project support, Policy guidance, expand domestic demand, stop the blind expansion of photovoltaic, wind energy and other industries.” Photovoltaic private enterprises continue to carry out crazy investment in contrast to Premier Wen Jiabao’s government work report, in the year when the photovoltaic industry is in a trough, although each The performance reports of large private PV companies appear to be somewhat "disastrous," but this has not stopped them from continuing to invest frantically. Some experts said that the real reason behind the frenzied investment of private PV companies is to be optimistic about the recovery situation this year and expand production to win the market. In fact, the crazy investment since last year has not stopped. Recently, a number of private PV companies continue to carry out their own expansion strategies.
On March 1, JinkoSolar announced that it will cooperate with Canadian component manufacturer Heliene to establish a photovoltaic module in Ontario, Canada. Baowei New Energy Co., Ltd. and Japan's solar energy system integrator, Japan West Control Group, jointly established “Pauli Japan”, whose main business scope includes the design, material supply, construction, installation and maintenance of solar photovoltaic power plants. Hairun Photovoltaic Technology Co., Ltd. also announced that in order to further improve the company's overall profitability and reduce costs, it will carry out the renovation and construction of existing photovoltaic module battery production automation technology for its four subsidiaries. Targeting the recovery of the industry in 2012 In early February, data from the European Photovoltaic Industry Association showed that global PV installations exceeded 27.7 GW in 2011, an increase of 67% from 2010. Since the end of last year, the prices of polysilicon and photovoltaic modules and photovoltaic cells have gradually bottomed out. Recently, the spot price of polysilicon has risen to 32 US dollars / kg, compared with the lowest valley, rebounded nearly 30%; PV modules and solar cell prices also showed a small rebound. At the same time, thanks to the rebound in polysilicon prices, several polysilicon manufacturers have resumed production in China. "On the one hand, the photovoltaic industry is currently in a downturn. Whether the company is engaged in mergers and acquisitions or fixed-asset investment, the cost is relatively low at this time, so the cost performance is also high; on the other hand, these companies may also foresee the second half of this year. The photovoltaic industry will pick up, and before the scale and layout are optimized, the first wave of market recovery will be able to seize the opportunity," said Li Shengmao, a senior researcher at China Investment Consulting. Crazy investment is still like “gamble” Although investment in the downturn of the industry can bring double or even multiple benefits during the outbreak, the recent bad news continues to spread. Therefore, the photovoltaic market will face no small risks in the future. In this regard, Li Shengmao believes that, first of all, there is uncertainty in the warm-up time. If the warm-up time is prolonged, but the merger and layout of PV private enterprises have been completed, it will bring a series of problems to the production capacity and capital utilization rate. Secondly, the photovoltaic industry The overall return on investment is a big risk compared with the financial cost of the company, because before the trough, the average profit margin of the photovoltaic industry is above 15%, but now the price of photovoltaic products has dropped again and again, even if it returns, the price will not return. To the previous level; in addition, the close relationship between the current main business of the PV company and the expansion of the business is the key to the profitability of the enterprise. If the contact is not tight, the economic benefits after the expansion of the enterprise will be more uncertain. Sex. In addition, Li Shengmao also suggested that photovoltaic companies should focus on capacity expansion, such as Saiwei and Suntech, because of their advanced technology; small and medium-sized enterprises should enter the new field of photovoltaic cells with differentiated competition strategies; Accurately grasp the rhythm of the development of the industry, it is best to have its own downstream sales channels, reach out to consumers.

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