The basic metal prices on the London Metal Exchange were mixed on Tuesday (March 28). Copper and aluminum prices rose slightly. Copper futures rose in the early stages of Chinese buying, but the intra-day trading period failed to expand its trading results. Some gains, floor trading last reported 3,230 US dollars, up 33 US dollars, volume was 43,080, a relatively low level for the recent period; aluminum yesterday to maintain a narrow range intraday volatility, higher and lower prices do not exceed 15 Yuan, trading on the floor ended at 1938 US dollars, up 9 US dollars, trading volume of 85769. The performance of the U.S. dollar has been relatively strong in the previous period, and has seen a large increase against major currencies. The US dollar has weakened slightly in the past two trading days. Judging from the trend of the US dollar, it has not been confirmed whether the US dollar has escaped the long-term downtrend, and the US dollar index has risen above at least 86 to confirm the end of the long-term US dollar decline. At present, the US dollar may fall again at any time. Obviously, a stronger US dollar will bring pressure on the metal market. However, from the perspective of copper and aluminum, the pressure caused by the strengthening of the US dollar is limited. If the US dollar weakens, its incentive for metals will be greater than the pressure when the dollar is strong. Since last week, the Shanghai copper spot market has been performing strongly. The spot premium has been maintained at more than 1,000 yuan. However, it can be seen that the spot premium gradually fell during these trading days. The strength of the spot premium is in line with our previous expectations, but the spot market performance seems to be somewhat excessive. With the increase in imports, the spot market's heat will gradually decline, but temporarily will not change the pattern of strong spot. The lme copper recovered immediately after breaking below the 3,200 integer barrier. The price remains high and the driving force for both up and down is very weak. The daily average of the average line portfolio continues to stay long, supporting the period price, but the high pressure is also higher. The larger the future, the short-term direction of copper is unknown; aluminum temporarily stopped falling after the early fall, but the rebound is weak, and it is expected that the market outlook will continue to seek support. Although the recent volatility of copper and aluminum has decreased, the market risk is gradually increasing. With the passage of time, it is likely to have an explosive market. However, we cannot predict which direction to develop. Investors can maintain a wait-and-see attitude. Source: China Securities News
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